Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.022376 0.024122 0.025940 0.027976 0.030195 0.032541 0.035212
2025-12-07 0.019333 0.021816 0.024539 0.027751 0.031447 0.035577 0.040554
2025-12-14 0.017290 0.020178 0.023465 0.027498 0.032333 0.037966 0.045059
2025-12-21 0.015941 0.019115 0.022842 0.027563 0.033417 0.040479 0.049708
2025-12-28 0.014768 0.018119 0.022156 0.027413 0.034123 0.042467 0.053727
2026-01-04 0.013847 0.017337 0.021639 0.027378 0.034897 0.044505 0.057856
2026-01-11 0.013120 0.016730 0.021275 0.027474 0.035792 0.046693 0.062257
2026-01-18 0.012460 0.016156 0.020899 0.027500 0.036558 0.048706 0.066499
2026-01-25 0.011931 0.015714 0.020656 0.027668 0.037491 0.050962 0.071177
2026-02-01 0.011293 0.015084 0.020117 0.027382 0.037755 0.052271 0.074546
2026-02-08 0.010658 0.014420 0.019490 0.026926 0.037733 0.053143 0.077290
2026-02-15 0.010171 0.013934 0.019078 0.026741 0.038072 0.054531 0.080856
2026-02-22 0.009667 0.013416 0.018619 0.026496 0.038355 0.055919 0.084628
2026-03-01 0.009226 0.012968 0.018237 0.026345 0.038770 0.057534 0.088880
2026-03-08 0.008798 0.012515 0.017823 0.026117 0.039043 0.058930 0.092853
2026-03-15 0.008485 0.012215 0.017614 0.026179 0.039758 0.061041 0.098118
2026-03-22 0.008142 0.011850 0.017288 0.026038 0.040133 0.062614 0.102570
2026-03-29 0.007850 0.011550 0.017043 0.026005 0.040670 0.064467 0.107605
2026-04-05 0.007610 0.011315 0.016884 0.026095 0.041404 0.066675 0.113397
2026-04-12 0.007369 0.011067 0.016693 0.026121 0.042023 0.068713 0.119010
2026-04-19 0.007174 0.010882 0.016590 0.026279 0.042868 0.071174 0.125554
2026-04-26 0.006895 0.010552 0.016240 0.026009 0.042959 0.072317 0.129704
2026-05-03 0.006598 0.010181 0.015808 0.025579 0.042745 0.072895 0.132805